March 22, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 923 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Randa Markos's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randa Markos for the expected result. Had Angela Hill pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 946 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:24 | 4:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 943 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +68 |
Randa Markos earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 920 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Randa Markos edged the striking exchanges with 13 vs 2 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Randa Markos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 2:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 829 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Randa Markos dominated Angela Hill on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:52 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Randa Markos demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randa Markos capitalized on this activity level, while Angela Hill's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 953 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Randa Markos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Angela Hill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 945 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.