October 2, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:47 | 2:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +82 |
Rose Namajunas earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 022 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Angela Hill controlled the striking through superior accuracy (54.5% vs 39.4%). However, since Angela Hill lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rose Namajunas's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 864 | 893 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Rose Namajunas controlled Angela Hill on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 295 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Rose Namajunas demonstrated standard activity with 295 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rose Namajunas capitalized on this activity level, while Angela Hill's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Rose Namajunas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Angela Hill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.