Anshul Jubli vs Mike Breeden

October 20, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

992
(-53)
Anshul Jubli
Winner: Mike Breeden
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 3:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anshul Jubli-53
Mike Breeden+67
976
(+67)
Mike Breeden

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -39Mike Breeden: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO982971
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Mike Breeden's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Breeden for the expected result. Had Anshul Jubli pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -26Mike Breeden: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO995967
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -61Mike Breeden: +123

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:003:00
Win Type ELO1 0251 036
ELO Change-61+123
💡

What Happened

Mike Breeden gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -141Mike Breeden: +141

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Significant Strikes Landed10392
Significant Strikes Attempted194177
Total Strikes Landed10494
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO943939
ELO Change-141+141
💡

What Happened

Anshul Jubli controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (103 vs 92). However, since Anshul Jubli lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mike Breeden's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -83Mike Breeden: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time0:050:01
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 003935
ELO Change-83+83
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -25Mike Breeden: +76

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Days Since Last Fight25970
Activity ELO9961 023
ELO Change-25+76
💡

What Happened

Mike Breeden demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mike Breeden capitalized on this activity level, while Anshul Jubli's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -26Mike Breeden: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO997972
ELO Change-26+28
💡

What Happened

Mike Breeden started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anshul Jubli is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anshul Jubli: -26Mike Breeden: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAnshul JubliMike Breeden
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO995967
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.