Anthony Birchak vs Dileno Lopes

July 6, 2016

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1027
(+23)
Anthony Birchak
Winner: Anthony Birchak
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Birchak+23
Dileno Lopes-22
950
(-22)
Dileno Lopes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +31Dileno Lopes: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 011948
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Anthony Birchak's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Birchak for the expected result. Had Dileno Lopes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +21Dileno Lopes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 003958
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +8Dileno Lopes: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 045950
ELO Change+8-8
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Anthony Birchak receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +29Dileno Lopes: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Significant Strikes Landed4125
Significant Strikes Attempted11287
Total Strikes Landed10135
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 107939
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Anthony Birchak dominated the striking exchanges with 101 vs 35 total strikes, 41 vs 25 significant strikes. Anthony Birchak capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +24Dileno Lopes: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted012
Ground Control Time2:205:10
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 014928
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Anthony Birchak did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dileno Lopes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:20 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +25Dileno Lopes: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Days Since Last Fight243341
Activity ELO1 026959
ELO Change+25-20
💡

What Happened

Anthony Birchak demonstrated standard activity with 243 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Birchak capitalized on this activity level, while Dileno Lopes's 341-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +23Dileno Lopes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 008958
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Anthony Birchak started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dileno Lopes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Birchak: +21Dileno Lopes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony BirchakDileno Lopes
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 003958
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.