July 6, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Anthony Birchak's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Birchak for the expected result. Had Dileno Lopes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Anthony Birchak receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 101 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Anthony Birchak dominated the striking exchanges with 101 vs 35 total strikes, 41 vs 25 significant strikes. Anthony Birchak capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:20 | 5:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Anthony Birchak did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dileno Lopes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:20 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 243 | 341 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Anthony Birchak demonstrated standard activity with 243 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Birchak capitalized on this activity level, while Dileno Lopes's 341-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Anthony Birchak started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dileno Lopes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Dileno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

