November 6, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +42 |
Gustavo Lopez overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Birchak.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:43 | 2:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +89 |
Gustavo Lopez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Gustavo Lopez edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 17 significant strikes, 60.5% vs 42.5% accuracy. Gustavo Lopez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 892 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -122 | +122 |
Gustavo Lopez dominated Anthony Birchak on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:06 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 585 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +47 |
Gustavo Lopez demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gustavo Lopez capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Birchak's 1585-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Gustavo Lopez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Birchak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Gustavo Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.