June 5, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:37 | 1:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -47 |
Anthony Birchak earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 171 | 784 |
| ELO Change | +200 | -200 |
Anthony Birchak dominated the striking exchanges with 16 vs 1 significant strikes, 41.0% vs 11.1% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Anthony Birchak capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -22 |
Anthony Birchak demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Birchak capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Soto's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Anthony Birchak started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Soto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

