November 6, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:24 | 4:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +60 |
Thomas Almeida earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Thomas Almeida controlled the striking exchanges with 48.0% vs 29.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thomas Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 990 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +29 |
Thomas Almeida demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thomas Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Birchak's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Thomas Almeida extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Birchak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.