April 16, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +34 |
Tony Gravely overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Birchak.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:31 | 1:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 951 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +88 |
Tony Gravely gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 895 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -163 | +163 |
Tony Gravely dominated the striking exchanges with 61 vs 30 total strikes, 39 vs 18 significant strikes, 52.0% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Tony Gravely capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 4:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 840 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Tony Gravely controlled Anthony Birchak on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:34 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Tony Gravely demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tony Gravely capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Birchak's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Tony Gravely extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Birchak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Birchak | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.