July 29, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 015 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Anthony Hamilton's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Hamilton for the expected result. Had Damian Grabowski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:14 | 0:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 151 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -38 |
Anthony Hamilton achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:14 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 781 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -113 |
Anthony Hamilton controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 1 significant strikes, 56.3% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Hamilton capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 160 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Anthony Hamilton demonstrated solid activity levels with 160 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Hamilton capitalized on this activity level, while Damian Grabowski's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Anthony Hamilton started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damian Grabowski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Hamilton | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

