Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd

April 8, 2022

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1062
(+31)
Anthony Hernandez
Winner: Anthony Hernandez
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Hernandez+31
Josh Fremd-31
969
(-31)
Josh Fremd

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +30Josh Fremd: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 043970
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Anthony Hernandez's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Hernandez for the expected result. Had Josh Fremd pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +21Josh Fremd: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 027979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +32Josh Fremd: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 114968
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Anthony Hernandez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +42Josh Fremd: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Significant Strikes Landed4831
Significant Strikes Attempted7154
Total Strikes Landed9143
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO993958
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Anthony Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 43 total strikes, 48 vs 31 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 57.4% accuracy. Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +63Josh Fremd: -63

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Takedowns Landed81
Takedowns Attempted111
Ground Control Time10:452:37
Ground Strikes Landed344
Ground ELO1 222937
ELO Change+63-63
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What Happened

Anthony Hernandez dominated Josh Fremd on the ground with 8 vs 1 takedowns, 10:45 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +18Josh Fremd: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Days Since Last Fight420N/A
Activity ELO1 034980
ELO Change+18-20
💡

What Happened

Anthony Hernandez demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Fremd's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +24Josh Fremd: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 035980
ELO Change+24-20
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What Happened

Anthony Hernandez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Fremd is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Hernandez: +21Josh Fremd: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 027979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.