April 8, 2022
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Anthony Hernandez's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Hernandez for the expected result. Had Josh Fremd pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Anthony Hernandez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Anthony Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 43 total strikes, 48 vs 31 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 57.4% accuracy. Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:45 | 2:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 34 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 222 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Anthony Hernandez dominated Josh Fremd on the ground with 8 vs 1 takedowns, 10:45 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 420 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Anthony Hernandez demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Fremd's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Anthony Hernandez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Fremd is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

