September 16, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Anthony Hernandez overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marc-Andre Barriault.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -41 |
Anthony Hernandez earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:53, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marc-Andre Barriault was submitted.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 023 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Anthony Hernandez edged the striking exchanges with 58 vs 34 total strikes, 39 vs 25 significant strikes, 65.0% vs 47.2% accuracy. Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:45 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 309 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Anthony Hernandez dominated Marc-Andre Barriault on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 8:45 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Anthony Hernandez demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Marc-Andre Barriault's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Anthony Hernandez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc-Andre Barriault is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.