February 12, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -59 |
Anthony Hernandez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:53, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Rodolfo Vieira was submitted.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Anthony Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 14 total strikes, 32 vs 9 significant strikes, 64.0% vs 34.6% accuracy. Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:25 | 4:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Anthony Hernandez edged out Rodolfo Vieira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:25 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Anthony Hernandez demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Rodolfo Vieira's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Anthony Hernandez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodolfo Vieira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.