February 16, 2024
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 142 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:23 | 3:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 339 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -41 |
Anthony Hernandez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:23, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Roman Kopylov was submitted.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Roman Kopylov controlled the striking through superior accuracy (61.4% vs 44.2%). However, since Roman Kopylov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Anthony Hernandez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 405 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Anthony Hernandez dominated Roman Kopylov on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:05 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 128 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Anthony Hernandez demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Anthony Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Kopylov's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 127 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -20 |
Anthony Hernandez continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Roman Kopylov's now at 0.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

