February 21, 2026
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 258 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Sean Strickland's 12-fight experience advantage (24 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Strickland for the expected result. Had Anthony Hernandez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 138 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:23 | 2:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 512 | 1 582 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +104 |
Sean Strickland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 110 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 241 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 318 | 1 536 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Sean Strickland dominated the striking exchanges with 111 vs 57 total strikes, 110 vs 55 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 576 | 1 438 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Sean Strickland landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 274 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +11 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Hernandez's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 294 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Sean Strickland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Hernandez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Hernandez | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 134 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.