September 11, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Bryan Barberena's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryan Barberena for the expected result. Had Anthony Ivy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 941 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Bryan Barberena earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 175 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 894 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Bryan Barberena dominated the striking exchanges with 175 vs 54 total strikes, 63 vs 36 significant strikes. Bryan Barberena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 24 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:50 | 1:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Bryan Barberena did not secure a significant ground advantage against Anthony Ivy on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:57 of control time, 5 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 448 |
| Activity ELO | 964 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +13 |
Bryan Barberena demonstrated extended layoff with 448 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Bryan Barberena capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Ivy's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Bryan Barberena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Ivy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.