Anthony Johnson vs Dan Hardy

March 25, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1173
(+42)
Anthony Johnson
Winner: Anthony Johnson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Johnson+42
Dan Hardy-42
1074
(-42)
Dan Hardy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +38Dan Hardy: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Total UFC Fights97
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1231 116
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Johnson for the expected result. Had Dan Hardy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +22Dan Hardy: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0631 041
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +26Dan Hardy: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3271 135
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +60Dan Hardy: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Significant Strikes Landed202
Significant Strikes Attempted3613
Total Strikes Landed10710
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3511 047
ELO Change+60-60
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 10 total strikes, 20 vs 2 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 15.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +122Dan Hardy: -122

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time12:450:00
Ground Strikes Landed130
Ground ELO1 1791 018
ELO Change+122-122
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +18Dan Hardy: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Days Since Last Fight490162
Activity ELO1 1921 137
ELO Change+18-20
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson demonstrated extended layoff with 490 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Anthony Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Hardy's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +25Dan Hardy: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0841 066
ELO Change+25-23
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +22Dan Hardy: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonDan Hardy
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0631 035
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.