September 4, 2015
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 233 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Anthony Johnson's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Johnson for the expected result. Had Jimi Manuwa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 129 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:28 | 0:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 527 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -13 |
Anthony Johnson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 595 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Anthony Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 8 total strikes, 25 vs 8 significant strikes, 59.5% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:22 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 243 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Anthony Johnson landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 285 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -12 |
Anthony Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Jimi Manuwa's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 167 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Anthony Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimi Manuwa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 126 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

