July 18, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +32 |
Kevin Burns overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Johnson.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:35 | 3:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +100 |
Kevin Burns gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 93 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Anthony Johnson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (51 vs 37). However, since Anthony Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kevin Burns's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:47 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 960 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Kevin Burns did not secure a significant ground advantage against Anthony Johnson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:17 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 108 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +105 |
Kevin Burns demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Johnson's 108-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Kevin Burns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Kevin Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 994 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.