Anthony Johnson vs Kevin Burns

December 12, 2008

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1083
(+62)
Anthony Johnson
Winner: Anthony Johnson
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Johnson+62
Kevin Burns-52
1041
(-52)
Kevin Burns

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +40Kevin Burns: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Total UFC Fights53
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 0561 075
ELO Change+40-40
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Johnson for the expected result. Had Kevin Burns pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +24Kevin Burns: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0181 020
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +104Kevin Burns: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:280:28
Win Type ELO1 2081 135
ELO Change+104-52
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +109Kevin Burns: -109

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Significant Strikes Landed3517
Significant Strikes Attempted6445
Total Strikes Landed10939
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 206993
ELO Change+109-109
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What Happened

Anthony Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 39 total strikes, 35 vs 17 significant strikes, 54.7% vs 37.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +115Kevin Burns: -115

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time7:290:01
Ground Strikes Landed120
Ground ELO1 075959
ELO Change+115-115
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +57Kevin Burns: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Days Since Last Fight148148
Activity ELO1 0591 101
ELO Change+57-28
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Burns's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +27Kevin Burns: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0251 026
ELO Change+27-24
💡

What Happened

Anthony Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Burns is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Johnson: +24Kevin Burns: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0181 020
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.