September 21, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 954 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Rich Clementi's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rich Clementi for the expected result. Had Anthony Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:05 | 3:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 081 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +97 |
Rich Clementi earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Anthony Johnson was submitted.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 927 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Anthony Johnson controlled the striking through superior volume (25 vs 43 total strikes), significant strike advantage (22 vs 12), 1 knockdown. However, since Anthony Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rich Clementi's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:23 | 2:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 911 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Rich Clementi controlled Anthony Johnson on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:42 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 102 | 170 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +38 |
Rich Clementi demonstrated solid activity levels with 170 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rich Clementi capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Johnson's 102-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 997 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Rich Clementi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Rich Clementi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

