January 29, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 272 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (17 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 153 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:26 | 1:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 611 | 1 433 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -35 |
Anthony Johnson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 664 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Anthony Johnson edged the striking exchanges with 11 vs 0 significant strikes, 84.6% vs 0.0% accuracy. Anthony Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 332 | 1 404 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Anthony Johnson controlled Ryan Bader on the ground with 1:13 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 337 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -26 |
Anthony Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Bader's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 198 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -26 |
Anthony Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Bader is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 150 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.