October 23, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Anthony Johnson's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Johnson for the expected result. Had Yoshiyuki Yoshida pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:41 | 0:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 344 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -27 |
Anthony Johnson secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:41 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 334 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Anthony Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 0 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 189 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Anthony Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Yoshiyuki Yoshida's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Anthony Johnson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yoshiyuki Yoshida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Johnson | Yoshiyuki Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

