November 15, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Jason High's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jason High for the expected result. Had Anthony Lapsley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Jason High earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Anthony Lapsley controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (72 vs 41 total strikes). However, since Anthony Lapsley lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jason High's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:17 | 8:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 946 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jason High controlled Anthony Lapsley on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:32 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 81 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +55 |
Jason High demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 81 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jason High capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Lapsley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Jason High extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Lapsley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Lapsley | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.