December 15, 1994
Open Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +80 |
Dan Severn earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Anthony Macias controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (8 vs 0), superior accuracy (88.9% vs 0.0%). However, since Anthony Macias lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Severn's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Dan Severn controlled Anthony Macias on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Dan Severn demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dan Severn capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Macias's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Dan Severn started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Macias is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Macias | Dan Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

