December 29, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 010 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Danny Castillo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Anthony Njokuani controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (44 vs 33). However, since Anthony Njokuani lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Danny Castillo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 8:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Danny Castillo dominated Anthony Njokuani on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 8:04 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 41 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +97 |
Danny Castillo demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 41 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Danny Castillo capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Njokuani's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Danny Castillo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Njokuani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.