July 10, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rafael Dos Anjos's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafael Dos Anjos for the expected result. Had Anthony Njokuani pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 043 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Rafael Dos Anjos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 059 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 68 vs 37 total strikes, 51 vs 32 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 36.8% accuracy. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Rafael Dos Anjos dominated Anthony Njokuani on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:45 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 81 | 57 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +81 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 57 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Njokuani's 81-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Rafael Dos Anjos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Njokuani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

