April 19, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Anthony Njokuani's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Njokuani for the expected result. Had Roger Bowling pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -37 |
Anthony Njokuani gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 129 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Anthony Njokuani controlled the striking exchanges with 56.5% vs 35.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Njokuani capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 944 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Anthony Njokuani did not secure a significant ground advantage against Roger Bowling on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 283 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Anthony Njokuani demonstrated standard activity with 283 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Anthony Njokuani capitalized on this activity level, while Roger Bowling's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 017 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Anthony Njokuani started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roger Bowling is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Njokuani | Roger Bowling |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

