March 1, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 037 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Anthony Perosh's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Perosh for the expected result. Had Nick Penner pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -32 |
Anthony Perosh earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 009 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +123 | -123 |
Anthony Perosh controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 9 total strikes, 25 vs 5 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 22.7% accuracy. Anthony Perosh capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Anthony Perosh controlled Nick Penner on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:28 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 118 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -21 |
Anthony Perosh demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Perosh capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Penner's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -21 |
Anthony Perosh extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Penner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.