February 25, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Anthony Perosh's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Perosh for the expected result. Had Tom Blackledge pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:45 | 2:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 003 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -53 |
Anthony Perosh earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 852 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Tom Blackledge lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Anthony Perosh's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:08 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 970 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Anthony Perosh controlled Tom Blackledge on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 371 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 966 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -24 |
Anthony Perosh demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Anthony Perosh capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Blackledge's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Anthony Perosh started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Blackledge is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Perosh | Tom Blackledge |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.