Anthony Pettis vs Clay Guida

June 3, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

986
(-14)
Anthony Pettis
Winner: Clay Guida
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Pettis-14
Clay Guida+16
1220
(+16)
Clay Guida

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -20Clay Guida: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Total UFC Fights114
Experience Gap-1313
Experience ELO9801 150
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Clay Guida's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Clay Guida for the expected result. Had Anthony Pettis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -16Clay Guida: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 096
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -13Clay Guida: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9871 303
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

Clay Guida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -13Clay Guida: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Significant Strikes Landed1419
Significant Strikes Attempted5165
Total Strikes Landed4263
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9871 240
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida edged the striking exchanges with 63 vs 42 total strikes, 19 vs 14 significant strikes. Clay Guida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -11Clay Guida: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time0:4110:17
Ground Strikes Landed26
Ground ELO9891 483
ELO Change-11+11
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida dominated Anthony Pettis on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:17 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -9Clay Guida: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Days Since Last FightN/A154
Activity ELO9911 253
ELO Change-9+15
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Clay Guida capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Pettis's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -14Clay Guida: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9861 134
ELO Change-14+20
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What Happened

Clay Guida extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Pettis is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Pettis: -16Clay Guida: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony PettisClay Guida
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 097
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.