January 17, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 185 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +49 |
Diego Ferreira overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Pettis.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 103 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:46 | 1:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 404 | 1 451 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +81 |
Diego Ferreira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:46, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Anthony Pettis was submitted.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 251 | 1 364 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Diego Ferreira edged the striking exchanges. Diego Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 063 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | -116 | +116 |
Diego Ferreira dominated Anthony Pettis on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:54 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +45 |
Diego Ferreira demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Pettis's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 122 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +46 |
Diego Ferreira continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Anthony Pettis's now at 0.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.