January 25, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -42 |
Anthony Pettis overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Donald Cerrone.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:35 | 2:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 331 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | +147 | -65 |
Anthony Pettis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 451 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | +168 | -168 |
Anthony Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 4 significant strikes, 64.3% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 243 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 144 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Anthony Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Anthony Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -26 |
Anthony Pettis extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Donald Cerrone is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.