April 22, 2016
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Edson Barboza's 6-fight experience advantage (15 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Anthony Pettis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 124 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 314 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Edson Barboza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 164 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 359 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 48 total strikes, 73 vs 48 significant strikes. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 063 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 97 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Pettis's 97-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Pettis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.