October 7, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -42 |
Anthony Pettis overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeremy Stephens.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 004 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Anthony Pettis receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Anthony Pettis edged the striking exchanges with 89 vs 65 total strikes, 44.7% vs 36.2% accuracy. Anthony Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:51 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 084 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Anthony Pettis controlled Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 6 vs 3 takedowns, 6:51 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -32 |
Anthony Pettis demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Anthony Pettis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.