July 7, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 234 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Anthony Pettis overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 145 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 399 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Anthony Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 319 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Anthony Pettis dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 51 total strikes, 80 vs 48 significant strikes, 66.1% vs 43.6% accuracy. Anthony Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:37 | 1:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 165 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Anthony Pettis edged out Jim Miller on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:37 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -32 |
Anthony Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Anthony Pettis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.