December 9, 2016
UFC Interim Featherweight Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Max Holloway's 5-fight experience advantage (16 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Holloway for the expected result. Had Anthony Pettis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 125 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:50 | 4:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 361 | 1 576 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +52 |
Max Holloway gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 158 | 208 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 291 | 1 516 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Max Holloway controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 55 total strikes, 94 vs 53 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 33.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:24 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 123 | 1 429 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Max Holloway landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 192 | 1 431 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +12 |
Max Holloway demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Pettis's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 10 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +48 |
Max Holloway extended his incredible 10-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Anthony Pettis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Pettis | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.