June 28, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 30 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 168 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Demian Maia's 17-fight experience advantage (30 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Anthony Rocco Martin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 353 | 1 472 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Demian Maia earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 261 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Demian Maia controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 36 total strikes, 3 vs 22 significant strikes. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:11 | 6:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 355 | 1 541 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Demian Maia edged out Anthony Rocco Martin on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:03 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 291 | 1 416 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +33 |
Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Rocco Martin's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 129 | 1 281 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Demian Maia extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Rocco Martin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 084 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.