March 20, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:29 | 2:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +49 |
Leonardo Santos earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Anthony Rocco Martin was submitted.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Anthony Rocco Martin lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Leonardo Santos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Leonardo Santos controlled Anthony Rocco Martin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Leonardo Santos demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Leonardo Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Rocco Martin's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 967 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Leonardo Santos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Rocco Martin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.