June 5, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Neil Magny's 7-fight experience advantage (22 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Anthony Rocco Martin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 338 | 1 458 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 248 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Neil Magny controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 46 total strikes, 64 vs 37 significant strikes, 58.2% vs 45.1% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:57 | 2:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 348 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Neil Magny did not secure a significant ground advantage against Anthony Rocco Martin on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 297 | 1 458 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +36 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Rocco Martin's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Neil Magny extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Rocco Martin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

