September 15, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 130 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Olivier Aubin-Mercier receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 20 vs 15 significant strikes. Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:11 | 5:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier controlled Anthony Rocco Martin on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:04 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 83 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 073 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Rocco Martin's 83-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Rocco Martin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Rocco Martin | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.