November 27, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 217 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Anthony Smith's 4-fight experience advantage (15 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Devin Clark pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:34 | 2:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 480 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -10 |
Anthony Smith earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 224 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Devin Clark controlled the striking through superior volume (27 vs 4 total strikes). However, since Devin Clark lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Anthony Smith's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 252 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +124 | -124 |
Anthony Smith dominated Devin Clark on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 327 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -12 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Devin Clark's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 131 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Devin Clark is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

