December 7, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 149 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +55 |
Dominick Reyes overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Smith.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:46 | 4:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 354 | 1 512 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +74 |
Dominick Reyes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 121 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 172 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 384 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Dominick Reyes dominated the striking exchanges with 172 vs 24 total strikes, 121 vs 21 significant strikes, 74.7% vs 45.7% accuracy. Dominick Reyes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 3:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 56 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Dominick Reyes controlled Anthony Smith on the ground with 3:51 of control time, 56 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 287 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Dominick Reyes demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dominick Reyes capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Dominick Reyes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Dominick Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.