December 2, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 015 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:27 | 3:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -41 |
Anthony Smith gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 869 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Anthony Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 29 significant strikes, 53.3% vs 35.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 4:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Anthony Smith landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 149 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 149 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Elvis Mutapcic's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elvis Mutapcic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Elvis Mutapcic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

