May 12, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 234 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Glover Teixeira's 6-fight experience advantage (19 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Glover Teixeira for the expected result. Had Anthony Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 099 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 1:04 | 1:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 528 | 1 598 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +105 |
Glover Teixeira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 138 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 226 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 202 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 318 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -152 | +152 |
Glover Teixeira dominated the striking exchanges with 202 vs 87 total strikes, 138 vs 86 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 41.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Glover Teixeira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 7:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 63 |
| Ground ELO | 1 210 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Glover Teixeira controlled Anthony Smith on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:58 of control time, 63 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 347 | 242 |
| Activity ELO | 1 330 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Glover Teixeira demonstrated standard activity with 242 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Glover Teixeira capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 347-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Glover Teixeira extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Glover Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

