April 23, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 243 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Anthony Smith's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Jimmy Crute pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 493 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Anthony Smith earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 255 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Anthony Smith edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 18 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 51.4% accuracy. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 274 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Anthony Smith did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jimmy Crute on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 350 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -12 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Jimmy Crute's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 153 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Anthony Smith extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimmy Crute is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

