May 12, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +58 |
Johnny Walker overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Smith.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 442 | 1 500 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Johnny Walker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 254 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Johnny Walker dominated the striking exchanges with 99 vs 41 total strikes, 92 vs 38 significant strikes. Johnny Walker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 0:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 210 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Johnny Walker controlled Anthony Smith on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:32 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 317 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +67 |
Johnny Walker demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johnny Walker capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Johnny Walker extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.