December 8, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 188 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +62 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Smith.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:56 | 0:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 399 | 1 467 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +106 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 47 significant strikes, 46.5% vs 56.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 317 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +63 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +46 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Anthony Smith's now at 0.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.