July 29, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 239 | 1 319 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +48 |
Magomed Ankalaev overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Smith.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:09 | 3:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 488 | 1 603 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +92 |
Magomed Ankalaev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 299 | 1 550 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Magomed Ankalaev controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 21 total strikes, 46 vs 18 significant strikes, 58.2% vs 50.0% accuracy. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 2:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 1 286 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Magomed Ankalaev controlled Anthony Smith on the ground with 2:26 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 344 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +54 |
Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 315-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 9 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 161 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +60 |
Magomed Ankalaev continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Anthony Smith's now at 0.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 104 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

