July 21, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 206 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -36 |
Anthony Smith overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mauricio Rua.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:29 | 1:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 493 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -44 |
Anthony Smith earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 450 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +145 | -145 |
Anthony Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 4 significant strikes, 74.2% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 43 | 498 |
| Activity ELO | 1 283 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -24 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 43 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Mauricio Rua's 498-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 102 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Anthony Smith extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mauricio Rua is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.