June 8, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 149 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -40 |
Anthony Smith overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rashad Evans.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:53 | 0:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 388 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | +161 | -61 |
Anthony Smith secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:53 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 305 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +157 | -157 |
Anthony Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 1 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -96 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -32 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Rashad Evans's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rashad Evans is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.